Africa Mourns the Loss of an Illustrious Son and Great Pan-Africanist

Africa Mourns the Loss of an Illustrious Son and Great Pan-Africanist

Date | 11 April 2025

Amara Essy

Said Djinnit* and El-Ghassim Wane*

And so it is that, on 8 April 2025, Amara Essy left us, joining the long lineage of servants of the Pan-African ideal who are no longer of this world. He was 80 years old.

An accomplished diplomat and man of vision, he marked a historic turning point in the life of the continental body.

We truly came to appreciate Essy’s exceptional qualities after his July 2001 election in Lusaka as the last Secretary-General of the Organization of African Unity (OAU), assuming a year later the role of interim Chairperson of the African Union (AU) Commission. He succeeded Salim Ahmed Salim, who had steered the OAU’s evolution through the post-Cold War era and was assigned the delicate mission of ensuring the transition to the AU.

This task, he carried out with rigor, determination, and humility. In Durban, in July 2002, the texts governing the functioning of the main organs of the AU were adopted and the new Union officially launched during a grandiose ceremony.

Before taking over the leadership of the OAU General Secretariat, Essy had notably served as the Minister of Foreign Affairs of Côte d’Ivoire and as his country’s Permanent Representative to the United Nations, where he held the presidency of the General Assembly, playing a leading role in defending African positions. His experience, network, strategic insight, and benevolent leadership made him uniquely qualified to ensure this successful transition between the two institutional incarnations of Pan-Africanism: the OAU and the AU.

Numerous other accomplishments can be credited to Essy’s leadership during his productive twenty-four-month tenure—from his election as head of the continental organisation’s executive to his departure following the July 2003 Maputo summit. Indeed, this transformative period saw the adoption of several landmark documents, including the Memorandum of Understanding on the Conference on Security, Stability, Development and Cooperation in Africa (CSSDCA)—an initiative that articulated a bold vision of governance and development in Africa; the Protocol establishing the Peace and Security Council; the AU Convention on Preventing and Combating Corruption; and the Maputo Protocol on the Rights of Women. All these instruments remain highly relevant to this day.

While guiding the successful transition from OAU to AU and advancing these normative frameworks, Essy remained fully engaged with other pressing issues of the time. He was actively involved in finding solutions to the crises affecting various regions of the continent, particularly in Madagascar, the Central African Republic, and Burundi, skillfully wielding the tools of African diplomacy, even when facing the most assertive leaders.

Well-versed in the intricacies of the international system, Essy had an acute awareness of the asymmetrical distribution of power within it and the inequalities and injustices that characterized it. He was fond of quoting this West African proverb: ‘The hand that gives is above the one that receives,’ as he advocated for a financially autonomous and politically sovereign African Union. Throughout his tenure, he championed this vision with remarkable persistence.

Essy’s management style was one of quiet authority, delegating with confidence and mobilizing energies in a spirit of genuine collaboration.

But what struck people most about him was the man behind the diplomat. He was remarkably humble, generous, discreet, and loyal in friendship. Everywhere he went, he left a profound imprint and earned universal esteem and respect. Those who knew and worked with him cherish memories of his exceptional kindness and attentiveness, qualities that extended well beyond his professional obligations. To the very end, he maintained meaningful bonds with his former collaborators, offering comfort and recognition with the dignified silence of the truly great.

His mandate concluded in July 2003 with the election of former President Alpha Oumar Konaré, yet his role as a bridge-builder between the OAU and AU remains indelible in the continent’s history. In today’s uncertain times, his example continues to inspire: ethics, commitment, discretion, and effectiveness stand as the enduring pillars of his legacy.

Essy often invoked another African adage: ‘In the village, everyone knows who the best dancers are.’ With his passing, Africa has lost one of its most graceful performers on the multilateral stage.

Our grief is profound. Yet we find solace in the wisdom of Birago Diop, who reminds us that:

« Those who die are never gone,

They are in the shadow that grows brighter,

And in the shadow that grows darker …,

They are in the trembling trees,

They are in the whispering wood,

They are in the water that runs,

They are in the water that sleeps … ».

Indeed, Essy’s spirit lives on in the memories, actions, and pathways of countless individuals he inspired across Africa and throughout the world.

Farewell, Mr. Amara Essy! May your noble soul rest in eternal peace.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​

* Said Djinnit, Former Special Representative of the United Nations Secretary-General in West Africa and Former Special Envoy of the United Nations Secretary-General for the Great Lakes region. He served as Assistant Secretary-General for Political Affairs at the Organisation of African Unity and Commissioner for Peace and Security at the African Union during Amara Essy’s tenure.

 * El-Ghassim Wane, Former Special Representative of the United Nations Secretary-General in Mali and Head of MINUSMA and Former Peace and Security Director at the African Union Commission. He served as Senior Political Officer/Acting Deputy Head of the OAU/AU Conflict Management Centre during Amara Essy’s tenure.

L’Afrique perd l’un de ses illustres fils et un grand panafricain

Said Djinnit* et El-Ghassim Wane*

Ainsi donc Amara Essy nous a quittés le 8 avril 2025, rejoignant la longue lignée des serviteurs de l’idéal panafricain qui ne sont plus de ce monde. Il avait 80 ans.

Diplomate accompli et homme de vision, il aura marqué un tournant historique de la vie de l’institution continentale.

Nous avons véritablement découvert Essy après son élection, en juillet 2001, à Lusaka, comme dernier Secrétaire général de l’Organisation de l’unité africaine (OUA), devenant un an plus tard Président intérimaire de la Commission de l’Union africaine (UA). Il succédait alors à Salim Ahmed Salim, artisan de l’adaptation de l’OUA à la période d’après-Guerre froide, et s’était vu assigner la mission délicate d’assurer la transition vers l’UA.

Cette tâche, il la mena avec rigueur, détermination et humilité. À Durban, en juillet 2002, les textes régissant le fonctionnement des principales instances de l’UA furent adoptés et la nouvelle Union officiellement lancée lors d’une grandiose cérémonie.

Avant de prendre la direction du secrétariat général de l’OUA, Essy avait notamment exercé les fonctions de ministre des Affaires étrangères de la Côte d’Ivoire et de représentant permanent de son pays auprès des Nations unies, où il assuma la présidence de l’Assemblée générale, jouant un rôle de premier plan dans la défense des positions africaines. Son expérience, son réseau, sa lucidité stratégique et son leadership bienveillant ont fait de lui l’homme idéal pour assurer ce passage réussi entre les deux incarnations institutionnelles du panafricanisme que sont l’OUA et l’UA.

Bien d’autres résultats peuvent être mis à l’actif du leadership d’Essy, pendant les vingt-quatre mois de travail intense qui ont séparé son élection à la tête de l’exécutif de l’institution continentale de son départ après le sommet de Maputo en juillet 2003. Cette période a en effet vu l’adoption de textes majeurs, comme le Mémorandum d’entente de la Conférence sur la sécurité, la stabilité, le développement et la coopération en Afrique (CSSDCA) – une initiative fondée sur une vision audacieuse de la gouvernance et du développement en Afrique; le Protocole portant création du Conseil de paix et de sécurité; la Convention de l’UA sur la prévention et la lutte contre la corruption et le Protocole de Maputo sur les droits des femmes. Autant d’instruments qui restent, aujourd’hui encore, d’une brûlante actualité.

Tout en œuvrant à la réussite de la transition entre l’OUA et l’UA et à ces avancées normatives, Essy ne négligea point la gestion des autres dossiers prioritaires de l’époque. C’est ainsi qu’il s’impliqua activement dans la recherche de solutions aux crises qui affectaient diverses régions du continent, en particulier à Madagascar, en Centrafrique et au Burundi, maniant avec finesse les outils de la diplomatie africaine, y compris face aux dirigeants les plus affirmés.

Rompu aux arcanes du système international, Essy avait une conscience aiguë de la distribution asymétrique du pouvoir en son sein et des inégalités et injustices le caractérisant. Il aimait à répéter ce proverbe ouest-africain : « La main qui donne est au-dessus de celle qui reçoit », plaidant pour une Union africaine financièrement autonome et politiquement souveraine. C’était là l’un de ses combats constants.

Essy gérait les dossiers avec une autorité tranquille, déléguant en toute confiance et mobilisant les énergies dans un esprit de collaboration sincère.

Mais ce qui frappait le plus chez lui, c’était l’homme derrière le diplomate. Il était d’une rare humilité, généreux, discret, et fidèle en amitié. Partout où il est passé, il a laissé une empreinte profonde et a toujours joui de l’estime ainsi que du respect de tous. Nombreux sont ceux qui, l’ayant côtoyé et pratiqué, gardent le souvenir de sa sollicitude et de sa bonté, bien au-delà des exigences du devoir. Jusqu’à la fin, il aura maintenu un lien cordial avec ses anciens collaborateurs, leur offrant réconfort et reconnaissance, dans le silence digne des grands.

Son mandat prit fin en juillet 2003 avec l’élection de l’ancien président Alpha Oumar Konaré, mais son rôle de bâtisseur de ponts entre l’OUA et l’UA restera inoubliable. En ces temps d’incertitudes, son exemple demeure une source d’inspiration : éthique, engagement, discrétion et efficacité sont les piliers de son héritage.

Essy se plaisait à rappeler cet autre adage africain: « Dans le village, on connaît les meilleurs danseurs ». Avec sa disparition, l’Afrique vient de perdre l’un de ses plus fins danseurs sur la scène multilatérale.

Notre peine est immense. Mais, nous nous consolons avec la certitude, comme le rappelle Birago Diop, que:

« Ceux qui sont morts ne sont jamais partis,

Ils sont dans l’ombre qui s’éclaire,

Et dans l’ombre qui s’épaissit …,

Ils sont dans l’arbre qui frémit,

Ils sont dans le bois qui gémit,

Ils sont dans l’eau qui coule,

Ils sont dans l’eau qui dort … ».

Bref, Essy continuera à vivre dans la mémoire, les gestes et pas de ceux, nombreux, que son exemple a inspirés – tant en Afrique qu’en dehors du continent.

Adieu Monsieur Amara Essy ! Que ton âme repose éternellement en paix.

 * Said Djinnit, ancien Représentant spécial du Secrétaire général des Nations unies en Afrique de l’Ouest et ancien Envoyé spécial du Secrétaire général des Nations unies pour la région des Grands Lacs. Il a servi comme Secrétaire général adjoint aux Affaires politiques à l’Organisation de l’unité africaine et Commissaire à la Paix et à la Sécurité à l’Union africaine pendant le mandat d’Amara Essy.

 * El-Ghassim Wane, ancien Représentant spécial du Secrétaire général des Nations unies au Mali et chef de la MINUSMA et ancien Directeur Paix et Sécurité à la Commission de l’Union africaine. Il a servi comme fonctionnaire politique principal/chef adjoint par intérim du Centre de gestion des conflits de l’OUA/UA pendant le mandat d’Amara Essy.​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​​


Update Briefing on The Status and Operations of The AU Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia

Update Briefing on The Status and Operations of The AU Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia

Date | 10 April 2025

Tomorrow (11 April), the African Union (AU) Peace and Security Council (PSC) is scheduled to convene for its 1273rd meeting for an ‘Update on the Status of the Operations of the African Union Support and Stabilisation Mission in Somalia (AUSSOM).’

The meeting will begin with opening remarks by Rebecca Amuge Otengo, Permanent Representative of the Republic of Uganda to the AU and stand-in Chair of the PSC for April 2025. Thereafter the PSC will receive introductory remarks from Bankole Adeoye, AU Commissioner for Political Affairs, Peace and Security (PAPS).

Tomorrow’s session came at short notice following a quick shift on the programme, as the session was initially scheduled to happen on 17 April. This session also comes as an Extra-Ordinary Summit of Heads of State and Governments of the Troop Contributing Countries to AUSSOM is being organised to take place on 23 to 25 April 2025 in Entebbe, Uganda. A summit which was initially planned to take place on 15 April 2025, but following a note verbale addressed to the AU Commission on 31 March from Uganda, it had to be rescheduled.

Tomorrow’s session is expected to discuss AUSSOM’s financial status for military, police, civilian and operational components for the period January to June 2025 as well as ATMIS’s outstanding liabilities for TCCs. AUSSOM faces a critical funding challenge for the period January to June 2025, with a total cash requirement of $90.4 million to support military, police, civilian and operational components. Military costs dominate at $78.5 million, driven by troop allowances and compensation, while police and civilian components add $8.1 million and $3.3 million, respectively, and operational costs total $0.4 million. Against this backdrop, committed funding stands at $16.7 million from China, the AU Peace Fund, Japan and Korea, covering just 18.5% of the need, leaving a $73.7 million shortfall. Additionally, the liquidation ATMIS incurs of $1.7 million in liabilities, of which $1 million remains unfunded, bringing the total urgent cash requirement to $92.1 million. An unspecified pledge from the United Kingdom offers hope, but immediate action is needed to bridge this gap and ensure operational continuity. Compounding the issue, outstanding liabilities from ATMIS owed to TCCs for 2022–2024 total $93.9 million, including Uganda ($34.5 million), Kenya ($15.7 million), Ethiopia ($17.2 million), Djibouti ($8.3 million) and Burundi ($18.1 million).

Since the beginning of 2025, this will be the first meeting on AUSSOM since the official transition of the AU mission from ATMIS to AUSSOM on 1 January 2025. During its last convening, the 1253rd meeting was held on 19 December 2024 on ‘Briefing on the Situation in Somalia and Post-ATMIS Security Arrangements.’ As observed in the Monthly Digest on the PSC for December, ‘funding uncertainties remain a significant barrier to the full operationalisation of AUSSOM.’ The PSC thus stressed ‘the importance of ensuring predictable, sustainable and adequate funding for the AUSSOM, including through a dedicated funding mechanism through UN-assessed contributions in accordance with UN Security Council Resolution 2719 (2023), as the most suitable mechanism for providing adequate, predictable and sustainable funding, in order to avoid the perennial financial challenges faced by previous Missions.’ Equally important was its appeal to the UN Security Council ‘to consider the financing option, on the hybrid application of the framework established under resolution 2719(2023), as the only practicable solution for AUSSOM, for the mission to fulfil its mandate and support the implementation of the Somalia Security Sector Development Plan (SSDP).’ When endorsing AUSSOM CONOPs and authorising the mission’s deployment under Resolution 2767, the UNSC went some distance towards positively responding to this request of the PSC. It thus requested the UN Secretary-General to implement “the hybrid implementation” of the framework established by Resolution 2719 (2023) to AUSSOM starting from 1 July 2025, including access to United Nations assessed contributions not exceeding 75 percent of AUSSOM’s annual budget. But this is made contingent on report to be submitted to the UNSC by 1 May 2025 detailing ‘the progress made in preparations for the implementation of the framework established by Resolution 2719 to AUSSOM under the “hybrid implementation” and confirmation by the Council of ‘the request to the Secretary-General in this paragraph through a Security Council decision, taking into account the report requested in paragraph 43 to this resolution, by 15 May 2025.’

It is to be recalled that the US abstained from Resolution 2767. With the Trump administration’s firm stand on cutting down costs and withdrawing from UN entities, the door that Resolution 2767 opened for applying 2719 to AUSSOM under the hybrid implementation no longer seems open. Unless conditions change and the Trump administration shows willingness to support the application of 2719 to AUSSOM on the basis of Resolution 2767, AUSSOM would face an even bleaker financial future beyond June 2025. As such and ahead of the summit of AUSSOM troop contributing countries one of the issues expected to feature during tomorrow’s session is whether there is a plan b regarding the financing of AUSSOM outside of the application of 2719 and what the implications of the absence of any such viable alternative plan for the sustainability of the mission post June 2025.

Tomorrow’s session would provide an opportunity for the PSC to assess the preparations for putting in place the report requested under Resolution 2767. It is expected that the AU Commission will provide an update in this respect. The PSC may also receive update on its request to the Commission to ‘draw up a roadmap, in collaboration with the UN for resource mobilisation to fill the funding gap of 25% for AUSSOM as directed by resolution 2719, including the possibility of convening a pledging conference…’ and ‘to present the AUSSOM Budget to the PSC for consideration and onward transmission following due process through the PRC Sub-Committee on General Supervision and Coordination on Budgetary, Financial and Administrative Matters (GSCBFM) and F-15 Technical Experts in order to use part of the interest accrued from the AU Peace Fund investment and the Crisis Reserve Facility (CRF) to contribute to the financing of the AUSSOM in line with paragraph 11, of Communique [PSC/PR/COMM. 1236 (2024)] adopted at the 1236th PSC meeting held on 22 October 2024.’

What also makes this consideration of the financial uncertainties of AUSSOM pressing is the recent escalation of the threat that Al-Shabaab poses ’s persistent threat, with the group adapting through asymmetric warfare and maintaining control over parts of southern Somalia. The mission’s success and effectiveness hinge on the SSF’s ability to hold territory, which faced setbacks in recent months. Geopolitical rivalries and Somalia’s lack of political consensus continue to complicate AUSSOM’s operations. There has been skepticism as the mission has been criticised as inheriting ATMIS’s unresolved issues, including limited mobility and logistical constraints.

The expected outcome of the session is a summary record.  The PSC is likely to express grave concern over the continued threat posed by Al Shabaab to peace and security in Somalia and the region and condemn all the attacks against Somali security forces and ATMIS forces. It is expected to encourage all Somali political stakeholders to prioritise the country’s national interests and immediately resume inclusive dialogue on all outstanding national issues through the framework of the National Consultative Council (NCC). The council may also reiterate its request for the AU Commission to continue extensive engagements with strategic partners and potential new donors to ensure adequate, predictable and sustainable funding and other forms of support for the AUSSOM. It may encourage the AU Commission working in consultation with Somalia and TCCs as well as interested stakeholders such as EU to work on a plan B in the highly likelihood of the UNSC declining to adopt a decision authorising the use of UN-assessed contributions under Resolution 2719. The PSC may also call on the AU Commission to present options regarding the various scenarios on the funding of AUSSOM in order to enable the PSC to make informed decisions.


Can AU’s anti-coup norm survive a scenario in which the military leaders of all suspended countries run for elections following the precedent in Chad and Gabon?

Can AU’s anti-coup norm survive a scenario in which the military leaders of all suspended countries run for elections following the precedent in Chad and Gabon? 

Date | 10 April 2025

Almost a year ago, the African Union (AU) Peace and Security Council (PSC) faced a test to its anti-coup norms during Chad’s presidential elections, where interim leader Mahamat Idriss Déby Itno ran for office despite the Council’s affirmation of his non-eligibility . This position was rooted in the AU’s established norm prohibiting coup leaders from contesting post-coup elections. In the 9 April 2024 edition of Amani Africa’s Ideas Indaba, published ahead of Chad’s elections, it was presciently warned: ‘If the PSC is unable to enforce the rule on non-eligibility concerning Chad, it would be the end of any future application of this rule as well.’ In an edition of Amani Africa Dispatch of 2 May 2024, it was also observed that the election of Debi, despite PSC’s decision on non-eligibility of members of the Transitional Military Council (TMC) that he was a member of, may set a precedent that juntas in other suspended AU member states may follow.

Election of Debi, despite PSC’s decision on non-eligibility of members of the Transitional Military Council (TMC) that he was a member of, may set a precedent that juntas in other suspended AU member states may follow. This prediction is now imminent to materialise in Gabon.

This prediction is now imminent to materialise in Gabon. On 12 April, as Gabonese voters make their way to the ballot booth for casting their votes to elect their president, marking the end of 18-month political transition following the August 2023 military coup that deposed President Ali Bongo, General Brice Oligui Nguema, the interim president and leader of the coup, will be on the ballot. Nguema’s candidacy raises normative challenges for the AU, particularly in relation to Article 25(4) of the African Charter on Democracy, Elections and Governance (ACDEG), which prohibits individuals who perpetrate unconstitutional changes of government from participating in elections aimed at restoring democratic order or from holding positions of political responsibility.

Following the 30 August 2023 coup, the PSC, during its 1172nd session, suspended Gabon from all AU activities until constitutional order is restored. The PSC called for the swift restoration of civilian authority, including through free, fair, credible, and transparent elections under AU observation. The timely conclusion of the transition and the convening of the elections are positive developments towards meeting PSC’s demand under its 1172nd session. Yet, as clearly anticipated in Amani Africa Dispatch on the election in Chad, Nguema’s candidacy, contrary to established AU norm, will carry significant implications for the continuing credibility of the norm and for AU’s broader engagement with other countries under political transition in respect to the application of this norm.

While Nguema’s bid for the presidency was widely anticipated, the PSC did not indicate that the candidacy of members of the transitional government in Gabon would be contrary to established AU norms. At least when it came to Chad, the PSC made that clear, despite not being able to enforce it. The fact that the PSC did not make this clear during its visit to Gabon drew criticism for ‘going easy’ on the transitional authorities. During the field mission, civil society representatives raised concerns that the upcoming election would entrench Nguema’s rule and derail the prospect of a genuine democratic transition. Yet, the mission report contains no indication that the PSC used the visit to press Gabon’s military leaders to uphold AU principles, including the prohibition against coup leaders contesting elections, nor was there any such indication in the communique the PSC adopted on its field mission to Gabon.

While Nguema’s bid for the presidency was widely anticipated, the PSC did not indicate that the candidacy of members of the transitional government in Gabon would be contrary to established AU norms.

In respect to the election in Chad, while the AU Commission Chairperson refrained from issuing the customary congratulatory statement and later clarified that doing so would have violated PSC decisions, the PSC itself moved past Chad’s disregard of its decision and established AU norm. On top of not designating as coup the seizure of power by the TMC following suspension of the constitution of Chad, following the election, the PSC listed Chad among countries that had ‘successfully’ held elections in the first half of 2024. And in a communiqué adopted at its 1224th session, it congratulated Chad —effectively disregarding its standing decision and the clear terms of Article 25(4) of ACDEG. The PSC went further by inviting Chad to address that session, which considered the AU Commission’s half-year report on elections in Africa.

The immediate question that these developments raise for the AU and the PSC is whether the holding of the election in which Nguma becomes victorious would mark the restoration of constitutional order that would warrant the lifting of Gabon’s suspension. Indeed, all indications are that AU member states are disposed not only to accept such an outcome but also to welcome the conclusion of the transitional process within the agreed timeline despite the fact that aspects of the process fly in the face of a clear provision in Article 25 (4) of ACDEG.

Questions are also being asked on why we are witnessing this departure from ACDEG’s Article 25 (4) norm, hence this regressive trend. The first factor that is put forward to explain this could be the weakening of the consensus of member states around the AU’s anti-coup norm. Indeed, this may have a role but has only limited explanatory power. The other explanation relates to the inconsistencies in the application of AU’s anti-coup norm and the legitimacy crisis that arose to the application of the norm due to the failure of AU and regional bodies to act against conditions of unconstitutionality such as manipulation of presidential term limits. Beyond these, the current disposition of member states to tolerate disregarding of ACDEG’s Article 25(4) norm arose from the increasing challenge that the prolonged suspension of a significant number of AU member states poses to regional cooperation and mobilising collective responses to other challenges.

The current disposition of member states to tolerate the disregarding of ACDEG’s Article 25(4) norm arose from the increasing challenge that the prolonged suspension of a significant number of AU member states poses to regional cooperation and mobilising collective responses to other challenges.

Notwithstanding the force of such justification, the result of the aforementioned trends with respect to Chad and Gabon is actually the emergence of a tendency of laxity in enforcing ACDEG’s Article 25(4) norm on the part of AU member states and the AU itself. One way of looking at this could be to consider this tendency as indicative of a possible evolution towards the emergence through practice of a customary norm of international law in Africa accepting the eligibility of coup makers for elections that are held for restoring constitutional order. However, such a reading would be implying that the practice is of such a nature that it firmly implies the emergence of the element of lawmaking through custom in international law, namely opinio juris, meaning that states believe that they intend to depart from the existing norm and be legally bound by the new practice.

One way of looking at this could be to consider this tendency as indicative of a possible evolution towards the emergence through practice of a customary norm of international law in Africa accepting the eligibility of coup makers for elections that are held for restoring constitutional order.

That would mean that representatives of AU member states are actually engaging in the formation of a norm through practice that is detrimental to the stability of governments, hence contrary to their interest. Because, despite their practice, it is difficult, if not impossible, to suggest that member states accept the full consequences of the demise of ACDEG’s Article 25(4) norm, which includes the unravelling of the AU’s entire anti-coup norm.

Indeed, the implications of the cost arising from disregarding this norm in Chad and Gabon are not confined to the question of how to deal with the remaining five suspended countries if military leaders in these countries opt to run for elections. It would have far wider consequences for AU’s electoral and constitutional norms writ large.

The demise of this norm will have a heavy price on account of the fundamental reason for the adoption of this particular norm. Notably, it would signal to members of the militaries of all other AU member states that the cost of perpetrating a coup is now lifted. It may thus unintentionally suggest to the militaries across the continent that a coup has once again become a viable avenue for ascending to power with the possibility of it being recognised by the AU following the coup’s legitimisation through elections. Because in a scenario in which most of the coup makers, in the countries that experienced military seizure of power, legitimise themselves through elections, it would be difficult to imagine that members of the militaries of other AU member states would not take note. Accordingly, to suggest that AU member states are engaging deliberately in the process of removing ACDEG’s Article 25(4) norm and replacing it by one that allows coup makers to legitimise themselves through elections would mean to accept that member states are removing a key disincentive that discourages their militaries from considering coup as an option for ascending to power. Although their practice may unintentionally signal such an outcome, they cannot be considered as engaging in such a self-harming enterprise by design.

Yet, this would still leave us with another question: How else should we then understand this current trend in which ACDEG’s Article 25(4) norm is being put aside?

Perhaps, the most accurate way to understand this trend is as an aberration specific to this particular season as opposed to one that is generalisable as setting a standard for all occasions. This, of course, does not exonerate nor reduce the seriousness of the blow that the laxity of the AU in enforcing the norm on non-eligibility of coup makers for elections organised for restoring constitutional deals to the AU’s anti-coup norm and AU’s credibility itself. As such, there is a need for a well-considered, deliberate and candid reflection on the impact of non-enforcement of ACDEG’s Article 25(4) norm in order to ensure that AU’s anti-coup norm survive a scenario in which the military leaders of all suspended AU member states run for elections following the precedent in Chad and Gabon.

Perhaps, the most accurate way to understand this trend is as an aberration specific to this particular season as opposed to one that is generalisable as setting standard for all occasions.


Annual Activity Report of Amani Africa 2024

Annual Activity Report of Amani Africa 2024

HIGHLIGHTS OF THE YEAR

In 2024, Amani Africa has continued to consolidate its policy work and impact, strengthening its role in knowledge production, policy analysis, the timely dissemination of critical information on AU affairs, including on the Peace and Security Council, convening of policy forum and training, provision of technical support and strategic communications and outreach.

During the year, we broadened both the range of issues covered and the diversity of our outputs, enhancing their reach, relevance and influence. Additionally, we introduced new initiatives such as Amani Africa’s new podcast, The Pan-Africanist, and production of factsheets on key AU policy events, with a particular focus on developments from the AU Summit.

Read Full Document

75th Anniversary of the Geneva Conventions: Preserving Our Common Humanity in a Time of Major Crises of Compliance

75th Anniversary of the Geneva Conventions: Preserving Our Common Humanity in a Time of Major Crises of Compliance

Date | 7 April 2025

INTRODUCTION

2024 marked the 75th anniversary of the Geneva Conventions(GCs) of 1949. On 16 September 2024, the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) Delegation to the African Union (AU) and the Swiss Mission in Addis Ababa, convened a high-level event to commemorate the anniversary. This policy brief, produced within the framework of our partnership with the ICRC Delegation to the AU, presents an analysis of the major themes and insights that emerged from the commemoration event.

The first section of the policy brief provides a synthesis of the main insights into the achievements of the Geneva Conventions and why they remain vital today. Considering the various significant global developments, the second section identifies the existing and emerging challenges facing the Conventions and IHL in general. The third section draws the lessons and insights from experiences shared during the event. In part four, the policy brief explores the key role of various stakeholders in reaffirming the continued importance of IHL. Finally, it concludes with key messages and recommendations.

Read Full Document

Implications of the AU Commission leadership elections for the AU’s standing and role

Implications of the AU Commission leadership elections for the AU’s standing and role

Date | 4 April 2025

Tefesehet Hailu
Researcher, Amani Africa

The elections of the African Union (AU) Commission leadership held during the 38th Ordinary Session of the AU Assembly that took place from 12 to 16 February 2025 could mark a turning point for the continental organisation. While they reveal strains in the state of intra-African cohesion and procedural gaps and complexities, what makes the elections of the AU Commission leadership remarkable is the timing of the elections. The elections were held, and the new AU Commission leadership was constituted at a time when major challenges and changes are unfolding both in Africa and globally, bringing Africa and the continental body to a crossroads.

Economic pressures, including soaring debt levels, a worsening cost-of-living crisis, and punishingly expensive cost of access to development finance, are eroding some of the gains made in recent decades as millions of people are pushed into extreme poverty. Meanwhile, conflicts are reaching unprecedented levels in both scale and geographic spread, further destabilising the continent as outlined in two major Amani Africa research reports (here and here), making the AU appear helpless and irrelevant. Efforts toward regional integration are also facing setbacks, exemplified by rising inter-state tensions and the recent withdrawal of the three Sahel countries from ECOWAS, exemplifying a fragmentation of regional blocs threatening the AU’s foundation. While demand for a democratic and accountable system of governance continues to rise and several countries show electoral democratic resilience in the face of challenges, democratic governance and constitutional rule remain under strain, with disputed elections and a resurgence of military coups threatening stability. At the same time, the global order is shifting, marked by the rise of multipolarity, rising geopolitical tensions, rapid technological advancements, and a dismembering and failing multilateral system.

As per the decision of the 22nd extraordinary session of the AU Executive Council, which decided the election to be based on the principle of inter-regional rotation, the Eastern region is to submit candidates for the role of Chairperson, and the Northern region is to submit candidates for the role of Deputy Chairperson. As a result, while the eastern region submitted three candidates from Djibouti, Kenya, and Madagascar for the chairperson positions, the Northern region submitted six candidates from Algeria, Egypt, Libya and Morocco.

The three candidates listed for the position of Chairperson were Raila Odinga, Former Prime Minister of Kenya; Mahamoud Ali Youssouf, Foreign Minister of Djibouti; and Richard Randriamandrato, Former Foreign Minister of Madagascar. Despite having three candidates in the race, the main contenders were Mahamoud Ali Youssouf and Raila Odinga.

Mahmoud Ali Youssouf steadily gained votes across all seven rounds, increasing from 18 votes in Round 1 to 33 votes in Round 7. His main competitor, Raila Odinga, maintained a relatively stable vote count, starting with 20 votes in Round 1 and ending with 22 votes in Round 6, failing to expand his support base. Meanwhile, Richard J. Randriamandrato experienced a sharp decline, dropping from 10 votes in Round 1 to just 5 votes by Round 3, after which he was eliminated. This suggests that he had limited backing, and his supporters likely shifted to other candidates, primarily Mahmoud Ali Youssouf, contributing to him assuming a lead during subsequent rounds.

Interestingly, abstentions remained low in the early rounds (one vote per round) but surged to 14 in the final round. This spike suggests that some member states either refused to back the remaining candidate, Mahmoud Ali Youssouf, or preferred to abstain once their favored candidates had been eliminated. The significant increase in abstentions also indicates that some member states may have sought to postpone the election. If that had happened, the Assembly might have followed the precedent of suspending the entire election as it did in 2016.

Before the election, it is recalled that the Southern African Development Community (SADC) urged its 16 member states to support Madagascar’s candidate, Richard Randriamandrato, in a last-minute letter published on February 12, 2025. The timing of the endorsement, just days before the election, suggests a last-minute push to consolidate regional votes, potentially influencing undecided member states. One can assess that the last-minute lobbying efforts have failed, but they were also decisive in shaping the final outcome of the elections.

When it comes to the election for the Deputy Chairperson position, the voting pattern reveals a competitive race primarily between Salma Malika Haddadi of Algeria and Latifa Akharbach of Morocco, with Hanan Morsi, despite appearing to be one of the favorites, failing to secure more than six votes and being eliminated early. Haddadi gained steady support across all rounds, starting with 21 votes in Round 1 and reaching 33 votes in Round 7, indicating strong and consistent backing from her supporters. In contrast, Akharbach experienced fluctuations, initially securing 21 votes but dropping to 18 in Round 2 before stabilising at 22 votes from Round 3 to Round 6.

In the election for the position of Deputy Chairperson, a notable trend during the various rounds of elections was the fact that the candidate Selma Hadadi maintained a lead position, thereby becoming the only candidate on the ballot after the sixth round. The most decisive moment came in Round 7 when Haddadi reached 33 votes, suggesting a shift of support from eliminated candidates and a strategic realignment among member states. However, similar to the election for the chairperson position, at the 7th round, there were 13 abstentions. This highlights the existence of a fault line in inter-state relations within the AU, which pits Algeria against Morocco, a fault line that threatens AU processes to be held hostage to regional tensions.

These elections underscore the intricate interplay of regional allegiances, strategic maneuvering, and procedural challenges within the AU. While candidates like Youssouf and Haddadi demonstrated the required 2/3rd majority support from AU member states, the struggle to get a two-thirds majority vote and the surge in abstentions reflect deeper divisions. These divisions could get in the way of pursuing the objectives of the AU as set out in the Constitutive Act and defending the interests of the continent. Accordingly, apart from adopting urgent strategic steps for arresting the spread and intensifying conflicts on the continent, mending these divisions for building a minimum level of consensus among AU member states is one of the most immediate pressing tasks for the new leadership.

With regards to the elections of the Commissioners, with East Africa and North Africa already occupying the Chairperson and Deputy Chairperson roles, candidates for the six commissioner positions were submitted from the Central, West and Southern Africa regions. However, only four of these positions were successfully filled: Agriculture, Rural Development, Blue Economy, and Sustainable Environment (ARBE); Health, Humanitarian Affairs, and Social Development (HHS); Infrastructure and Energy; and Political Affairs, Peace, and Security (PAPS). Notably, the positions for Commissioner for Economic Development, Trade, Tourism, Industry, and Mining, as well as Education, Science, Technology, and Innovation, remained vacant due to a combination of scoring requirements and regional representation rules.

The position for the Commissioner for Economic Development, Trade, Tourism, Industry, and Mining was not filled because none of the seven candidates from the Southern and Central regions met the minimum threshold of 70%.

The election for the Commissioner for Education, Science, Technology, and Innovation also faced hurdles. Out of twelve candidates shortlisted by the High-Level Panel of Eminent Africans, only one candidate from the Southern region achieved a Category A ranking, scoring 90% or above. However, this candidate was ultimately eliminated after the position for Commissioner of Agriculture, Rural Development, Blue Economy, and Sustainable Environment was filled by another candidate from the same region. This decision was as per the Revised Statute of the AU, which prioritises regional diversity and gender balance. Specifically, the two commissioner positions allocated to a single region must be occupied by one male and one female, preventing both roles from being held by candidates of the same sex. As such, since the ARBE portfolio was filled by a male candidate, the Southern region could not secure another position, leading to the elimination of the highly qualified candidate for Education, Science, Technology, and Innovation.

The result was that the two portfolios would be filled from the Central African region during the election set to take place during the extraordinary session of the Executive Council set for 15 April 2025. It is now reported that none of the candidates in the list of candidates from the Central Region submitted to fill in the two commissioner positions managed to meet the minimum requirements. This means that the two positions may end up being vacant for an extended period of time, with the potential risk of affecting AU’s participation in the G20 as the position of AU Sherpa remains unfilled.

The alphabetical order of the elections has further influenced the process. For instance, the election for the Commissioner of Health, Humanitarian Affairs, and Social Development was impacted by the prior filling of the two allocated positions for the Southern region. Initially, there were two candidates in contention: one from the Western region and one from the Southern region. However, by the time the election for this position took place, the Southern region had already filled its quota, leaving the Western region candidate as the sole viable option. This procedural nuance highlights how the sequencing of elections can significantly influence outcomes, often sidelining qualified candidates due to regional constraints.

The process of elections for the position of Commissioners revealed both the strengths and limitations of the AU’s commitment to regional representation and gender balance. While these principles are laudable, their implementation can sometimes result in unintended consequences, such as the inability to fill critical positions or the exclusion of highly qualified candidates. Moving forward, the AU may need to revisit its election procedures to strike a better balance between representation and meritocracy, ensuring that its leadership remains both diverse and highly capable.

Additionally, as pointed out by the Panel of Eminent Persons reviewing the qualifications of candidates, the process for the submission of candidates shows that member states are failing to put forward candidates who possess the requisite competence and skills. It appears that political considerations often influence candidate selection, leading to the exclusion of highly qualified individuals. This limits meritocracy and narrows the talent pool, as the authorities handling the identification of candidates at the national level may prioritise loyalty and connections over competence.

It is clear that the AU Commission leadership elections reveal that the election process is still fraught with challenges that necessitate further refinement. Additionally, the elections of the new AU Commission leadership mark a pivotal moment for the continent, offering a unique opportunity to redefine the Union’s approach and mode of work. If this leadership transition breaks from the business-as-usual approach of the past years to the profound changes and challenges, it can enable Africa to fend off and minimise the adverse impacts of a world in a destabilising tumult. Most notably, it can reposition the AU for advancing Africa’s integration and development continentally and its collective voice globally by leveraging its immense potential, driven by the world’s youngest population, huge natural resources endowment and reserve of renewable energy, vast arable land and a growing middle class.

The content of this article does not represent the views of Amani Africa and reflect only the personal views of the authors who contribute to ‘Ideas Indaba’


Privacy Preference Center